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Climate Change - Another Inconvenient Truth
Message
From
11/08/2007 21:50:31
Neil Mc Donald
Cencom Systems P/L
The Sun, Australia
 
 
To
11/08/2007 12:31:52
Dragan Nedeljkovich (Online)
Now officially retired
Zrenjanin, Serbia
General information
Forum:
Weather
Category:
Climate change
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
01247493
Message ID:
01247661
Views:
19
>>Hi,
>> This type of error has been found in a number of these latest datasets. The problem is that as soon as their model shows the slightest sign of proving warming, this is where they stop.
>>
>> One of the problems is the effect of localized heat island effect upon the the monitoring station/s it skews the results by just the amount that they are looking for.
>>
>> A Local New Zealand researcher has also done a lot of research in this area and has found that the average temperature has been dropping in our area for about the last six maybe seven years, but he has been howled down by those pushing the Man Made Global Warming barrow. His statistical analysis methods are very good whereas his opponents methods leave a lot to be desired.
>
>While I do believe that the global climate is going out of whack (something had to set those icecaps into a melting phase), I even more strongly believe that there's much more chaff than wheat in the research on both sides. Your New Zealander guy may actually be right - the global warming doesn't necessarily mean it's getting warmer equally everywhere. Its going out of old balance may also mean that some places were getting much warmer (heck, my old place in Europe just had 42o Celsius, previous record was 37 and that was 50+ years ago) while some are getting somewhat colder.
>
>I'm fully aware that anything that's getting so much publicity will attract a lot of people who are in it just for the money or fame, which degrades the quality of research. But if it's so easy to poke holes in the research in the "global warming IS happening" side, why did GW2B force the EPA reports to be forged, why did he have to fire a few whistleblowers (while many more just quit in disgust)? And why did the big oil have to pour few dozen million dollars into junk science ordered to prove that global warming is junk science?

The earth will continue doing what it has been doing, the cycles will continue regardless of what we do or can do, our input into the energy balance as a whole is miniscule.

As far the 42o Celsius at your old place, these uncommon events do occur and as you are aware there are processes in statistical analysis to handle these events. If you look back to the Medieval warm period, these highs were quite common and only naturally occurring variance, life just goes on.
Regards N Mc Donald
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