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Global Warming
Message
From
02/11/2007 07:52:04
Neil Mc Donald
Cencom Systems P/L
The Sun, Australia
 
 
To
02/11/2007 07:47:12
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Other
Title:
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
01265982
Message ID:
01266010
Views:
9
It is just going to happen, regardless of what we are going to do, it is just the natural cycle.

>>Another flaw in his approach is that Column A Row1 will have the same outcome as Column B Row2 if the warming is being caused by processes other than our own, which is the case.
>
>Umm.. that suggest that if global warming exists and is not being caused by human beings, then any attempt by humans to rectify the situation, will necessarily be ineffective and we will end up with his A1 result? Is that what you're saying?
>
>>
>>>Now this is a really clever approach, imo. Very worth watching:
>>>
>>>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bDsIFspVzfI
>>>
>>>
>>>Update: I would say there might be one possible flaw and that is that one would need to apply some sort of probability to the various squares. Sticking with his 2 columns; what if the probability of column B - bottom square is infinitesimally small. What if GCC is occurring (row 2) and we do nothing (column 2) but the extreme outcome case he presents is extremely unlikely and that a much milder outcome is most likely. Then it would not make sense to pick column 2 anymore. This would be the classic risk vs. cost of protection trade-off. If one argues that the potential consequences are so catastrophic that even a small probability event needs to be catered for then we could imagine a very long list of such events that would need to be attended to and then we would end up spending ourselves into oblivion.

bDsIFspVzfI
Regards N Mc Donald
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