>>>>>>>I don't say that handheld devices won't be widely used, I only say that they won't replace PC's.
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>>>>>>There are estimates of 2billion cell phones world-wide. Of those, the majority are in underdeveloped nations where the populace can't afford to purchase desktops. The estiamtes say that they will use the cell-phone to access the internet, email, etc. I doubt that there are 2 billion pc's in use in the world.
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>>>>>Once again I repeat again my repetition: My point is that although the number of handheld devices will incerase, the number of PC's won't. If you don't get my point, please re-read this message again.
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>>>>The number of PCs won't increase?
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>>>LOL... you saw that too? I've given up trying to understand what he's talking about. Cell-phones, UMPCs, PDA's and future developments to down-size pc's will render today's desktops obsolete.
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>>OK, let's set the date, what about 1-1-2015. If there are no desktops, laptops or media centers by then, and only handheld devices, then I am wrong. But seen history repeat itself over the last 50 years, I don't think I will be wrong.
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>Who said there wouldn't be any? I said they'd be obsolete and it may take more than 8 years. Read the press reports from Google's recent partnerships with the Telecomm people. If google is betting the store on the viability of pocket/mobile based pc computing, I'd rather believe them than a self-proclaimed visionary who is still using VFP.

And how many of the companies who put their money in the NetPC rally 5-10 years are still around? Only IBM comes to mind, they were big enough to carry the huge loss.

I have been in the computer business for about 35 years now, my first experience with computers were in 1959, believe it or not. At least five times I have heard this predictions that the PC as wee see it, will die because this new technology/idea/stuff/hype will take over. Grow yes, grow fast maybe, but take over? No way.

Norway, where the modern cellular phone was invented, has probably the highest number of cellphones per capita in the world. Most of these cellphones have all the fancy stuff like 3G and whatever they call it. Now the phone companies realize that people don's use all this fancy technology, so now you get bandwith and megabits thrown at you for nothing. I predicted this many years ago, and nobody listened. But, I may very well be wrong this time, only future will tell. Again, shall we mark 1-1-2015 in our calendars?