>I'm fairly certain Obama will win in November. Unless some great big terrible issue comes to light before then. Even then, the public has been awfully forgiving to him so far and they may be then as well. No one likes their dream taken away from them.
>

Obama was the perfect candidate to thwart Hil - even counterbalancing her gender with his colour.
The big question is if non-Dem US is willing ready for this step - and how many Rep or undecided voters will stay at home after George W.

I guess religion will also play a role, but I won't touch that one.