What percentage of your acquaintances research for at least 2/3 as long as you do and have at least 2/3 your skill in finding data on the net ? While the pareto law forbids just multiplying such ratios to get an estimate of "knowledge reached" your basse assumptions are probably skewed by your very own behaviour patterns - like I the "solution" to FL delegates was to seat them, give a few to Hil and conjure up a way to give enough to Obama. The action in itself is totally ridiculous, but viewed from the strategic politician point "who can argue against it" it worked.

And the base group of which such a "consicious voter estimate" set is drawn will surely be not comparable to a randomly drawn set from the american public<g>.


>I disagree. It's not a question of being ready for that step. The question is his history, lack of voting record, no firm policies, etc. McCain is a known, Obama is an unknown. The question is whether the unknown is better than the known...
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>>>I'm fairly certain Obama will win in November. Unless some great big terrible issue comes to light before then. Even then, the public has been awfully forgiving to him so far and they may be then as well. No one likes their dream taken away from them.
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>>Obama was the perfect candidate to thwart Hil - even counterbalancing her gender with his colour.
>>The big question is if non-Dem US is willing ready for this step - and how many Rep or undecided voters will stay at home after George W.
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>>I guess religion will also play a role, but I won't touch that one.