>>>Surely you don't really think what you saw in Eastern Europe is applicable. The U.S. stock market is not going to fall to zero. It goes up, it goes down. It does not disappear.
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>>It doesn't, it just gets expressed in weaker currency. Three years ago, when Dow Jones was at 13000, someone calculated that it should be at 16000 just to break even with 1999 - adjusted for inflation. But somehow this adjustment gets forgotten.
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>Agreed especially if seen from foreign currency based eyes<g>. But dividends are computed into the Dow (they are in the DAX) so there is a correcting factor.
It's not exactly right. If a stock gains, say, 14% over a year, but the inflation is 9%, the net result is just 4.6% increase (I think I don't need to explain why is it not 5%).