Good observations.

Allow me to add to them: Americans don't always vote along party lines. We're almost exactly one third GOP, one third Democratic, one third neither. Of the 2/3 who belong to one of the two largest parties, probably a minority vote blindly for their party.

So I think those that are defining this election as the Democrat versus the GOP are not being realistic. I think it will turn into "change" versus "leadership". And I have no idea how that one will break but it's not an Obama runaway as some liberals gleefully predict.

I've said this before, it will break on the results of the debates. If Obama can paint McCain as out of touch and more of the same then Obama wins. If McCain can trip up Obama and make him look like a neophyte, McCain wins.



>>True enough about Bush. But at least he had the experience.
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>Ehh.. if he only has experience of being a failure, why don't take the odds to someone who at least gives you the impression he can succeed?
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>>You keep ducking the fact that Obama has little experience. IMHO, therefore, support for him is either an anti-McCain reaction or a gigantic leap of faith. That's all there is to it - you can point to his intellect and *hope* that he's be a decent President but you have nothing of substance to glom onto. That's the central tenet you're avoiding like the plague.
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>Well you have to look deeper IMO. Look at what the republican party has achieved in 8 years? It really depends on whether if the american people realise there is a need to change. I can hardly imagine that most americans do not feel there is a need to change. The economy is slowing down, huge trade deficits, devaluating dollar, the financial crisis etc. The US simply cannot afford another 4 years of bush-like administration.
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>mc Cain, despite I think he would be much and much better than bush (You can't get worse than this IMO), will not be able to get rid of the inheritance of the bush administration (Read: powers that are responsible for this mess in the first place). The power of the president is very limited in this respect. It is the party who will determine the course. And the fact is that there are too many money spending drifting powers in the republican party.
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>So, really I think, the only real alternative is the democratic party. In the end, it would even be better for the republicans, as it would give them time, to reorganise and cut the cancer out of themselves.
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>So in short, mc Cain, maybe a good candidate (yes you read that right), but wrong party.
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>Walter,