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McCain is out
Message
From
22/08/2008 10:11:31
 
 
To
21/08/2008 17:29:44
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Other
Title:
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
01339359
Message ID:
01341101
Views:
10
>There is the one which shows a 5 pt lead over Obama. However, as with the other polls, it all depends on who answers the phone... :o) (It wasn't me who stated McCain would trounce Obama)

FWIW, the biggest problem with this year's polls is that the pollsters pretty much all use landlines, and in the under 30 group, rather a lot of voters don't have those.

BTW, a site I've been enjoying that slices and dices the numbers is www.fivethirtyeight.com. The guy who runs it makes it clear what his preference is, but writes critically about both sides.

Incidentally, the guy in question ("Nate") is also one of the principals in baseballprospectus.com, where the same statistical methods are applied to something nearly as important as politics. <g>

Tamar
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