Good discussion. The uranium has been refined to reactor quality. More refining is need for bomb grade material. What if Iran does nothing but report progress on the nukes and that fact forces Israel to act. That would start one big ole war. However, if the Israelis want to take out the place they have a delivery problem. The US will not allow the Israelis to cross Iraq, so they have to go around. That will give them a re-fueling dilema. The only thing I can think of to get them there is to run an oil tanker, under another flag, into the area and launch a missle of some sort from the tanker. Any ideas?


>>>>Yes. Like the ability to deliver it.
>>>They have been testing missiles also lately, good enough to reach Israel
>>>
>>>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7498214.stm
>>>
>>>Also could just put it on a truck or boat, they don't need precision.
>>
>>
>>Chances of Iran attacking Israel first, out of blue are aprox 10.000 : 1
>>(When is the last time they attacked anybody ? )
>>
>>Chances of Israel (with or without US) attacking Iran in the near future, could be at at this point close to 90%
>>Naah... I exaggerate! Not going to happen!
>>( When is the last time Israel (or US) attacked anybody ???)
>>
>>Sounds cynical ?
>>So does calling next attack on Iran 'Preemtive'.
>
>how things change
>Irans most likely target for attack a few years ago was The Taliban
>
>From Time magazine 2001
>
>Iran is implacably hostile to the Taliban over that movement's extremist theology and over its killing of Afghan Shiite Muslims. In 1999, Iran almost went to war against the Taliban after its militia killed eight Iranian diplomats and a journalist after capturing a predominantly Shiite town, and has worked together with Russia to support anti-Taliban opposition forces. Despite the overtures between the reformist president Mohammed Khatami and the West on ways of cooperating against terrorism, hard-line spiritual leader Ayatollah Khameini insisted that while Iran condemned the terror strikes in the U.S., Tehran could not support U.S. military action against Afghanistan. Still, whether working directly with the U.S. or not, Iran remains a key regional player in the anti-Taliban alliance.