TCU looks Rose Bowl bound. (Where they will lose). The team I think s getting hosed is Stanford. They will be #4 in the new BCS standings but could slip as far as the Alamo Bowl under the arcane BCS rules. It also doesn't help them that they don't draw very big crowds compared to the other top programs. That shouldn't matter in terms of competitive fairness but it illustrates perfectly the hypocrisy the BCS was born in. The bowl system remains dedicated to financially rewarding the big conferences and big schools

Stanford still has a good chance at the Fiesta Bowl.

I wouldn't be so sure about TCU getting hammered by Wisconsin. Keep in mind that TCU played in a BCS bowl game last year, so some of their players (including Andy Dalton) have some experience with pressure - and they'll want a 2nd chance after flubbing last year against Boise State.

At the moment, here's a possible projection:

National Title Game: #2 Auburn vs #1 Oregon
Rose Bowl: Big 10 champion (Wisconsin?) vs TCU (BCS Buster) ....this one is pretty much a lock
Fiesta Bowl: Big 12 Champion vs BCS Buster (could be Oklahoma vs Stanford)
Orange Bowl: ACC Champion vs Big East Champion (could be Virginia Tech or Florida State vs UConn or WVU, depends on next weekend's games)
Sugar Bowl: SEC At-large vs Big 10 At-Large (so it could be Arkansas vs Ohio State, though I'm a little puzzled how the SEC works, with Auburn going to the big dance)