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ElBaradei and the Muslim Brotherhood
Message
From
30/01/2011 23:47:17
 
 
To
30/01/2011 14:51:16
General information
Forum:
News
Category:
Regional
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
01497850
Message ID:
01497889
Views:
42
However, it appears this has been in the works for months:
>>>http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/aug/1/muslim-brotherhood-supports-elbaradei/
>>
>>From my POV this is one of the times the west european media coverage is miles behind the US.
>>Makes me wonder - only fear of/for oil in neighbouring areas ?
>>No military options to speak of, so wait for the end ?
>>And what is Israel view of things...
>>
>
>Pretty safe bet Israel is freaked. They have absolutely not illusions about the MB and with the recent takeover of Lebanon by Hezbollah it is not looking pretty. Egypt is a big border. The only hope is that since Egypt is also a US client state financially, their potential threat diminishes without US military aid (unless Russia thinks they can buy off Islamist pressure by stepping in - but given the recent airport bombing climate not good for that and the Russians are pretty cynical about getting played.)
>
Re border: I guess part of US help made sure that not too much unwanted material crossed into regions near Palestinian borders. There the front will turn up in temperature soon.

Re threat: Thinking leaders would learn from Iran's lesson against Irak soon after the turnover. But thinking leaders won't come to power soon and an external enemy is always good when internal problems are not solved soon.

>Jordan is another potential target of the MB. And Syria, though if the MB could have taken down the Allawites they'd have done it long ago.

Jordan is the next logical target with american tie in direct to the royals...
>
>I don't think Saudi Arabia is worried about :"the street" - everyone who is going to hate the Saudi Royals already does so pretty thoroughly - but I'm sure the MB will take a shot at it.

...as that would isolate SA and the oil producing small fry, make them immediately a target for monetary pledges: helping more of their own poor countrymen to visit mekka might be an option the SA royals want to skip.

>My bet is Yemen is the first to completely get sucked in - unless we have more going on there right now than I know about - but it will stll be very ugly.

from european POV Morocco and Algeria will become more interesting in the long turn: Not only from refugees, but on the front wishing to use African deserts to rely less on oil.
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