>>>>>>>>>I would wish him luck, but I sincerely believe he is out to destroy the US. I think he is a globalist and he thinks our idea of work, get paid, purchase is not the way it should be. He thinks big government should steal from the workers and give to his voters (many of whom will not work, and don't pay taxes.) May he fail miserably, if my assessment is correct, and obviously, I believe it is.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I too have been thinking that lately too. I don't think he has a chance to win an election again. The only way he can stay in office is to create big crisis and postpone the election until he has - Umm let's call it - "handled the situation." If it comes to that, my basement and a couple of spare bedrooms are available. - And I ain't kidding. :-)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Not a chance, you say. Let's make this interesting and place a friendly wager on it. I say Obama will be reelected. If you are interested, you can suggest the stakes. Nothing big; a friendly wager. The last time I did this I won. It doesn't even matter that the loser (someone I like quite a bit) welshed.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>It's a wager not worth taking. AFAIK, only four times did the incumbent lose and one doesn't really count. Jimmy Carter, George H.W Bush, William Taft and Gerald Ford (the last doesn't count as he wasn't elected to be President). A known identity is better than the unknown in most American's eyes... no matter what has occurred during his Presidency, no change until his 2nd term ends I think.
>>>>>
>>>>>I believe the wager is worth taking, with odds of course. ;)
>>>>>
>>>>>Ford's defeat was a backlash and Taft managed to piss off everyone. Carter, Bush 41 and Hoover and all lost re-election as a direct result of economic conditions. The preponderance of evidence I'm examining points to, at best, a stagnant economy for the near term. I do not subscribe to this optimistic vision and if I'm correct then I don't care if it's a Paul/Trump ticket, Obama will lose.
>>>>>
>>>>>I would accept 4-1 odds at this point as fair value for taking the Republican "field" v. Obama. ;)
>>>>
>>>>You're on. Let's split the difference and make it 2.5:1 odds. Which are actually irrelevant because I like the same bet I made with John Koziol in 2008. If Obama wins you have to wear a T shirt all day that says "Mike Beane is smarter than me." And if he loses to (unknown worthy Republican candidate) I have to wear a T shirt all day saying "Jake Schneider is smarter than me." And the loser of the bet has to post a picture easily accessible from here. Let's have a little fun among all this acrimony.
>>>
>>>The odds I'm accepting right now are 4-1. That will likely tighten as time moves on but for now, just like a futures bet on the Kentucky Derby in February, events can change the odds.
>>>
>>>If you wish to take me on right now, when I win I will require you to wear 4 different shirts on 4 full days in a row with various sayings of my choosing. 1 will be "Jake Schneider is smarter than me" and the other 3 I will determine in the near future. If you win I wear the "Mike Beane is smarter than me" shirt for 1 full day. Deal?
>>
>>That's already seeming more serious that I meant it. I am not out to embarrass you, at least not for more than a day. It was meant in fun.
>
>No worries. We're still a long way out with plenty of time for wagering. ;)

Bock bock bock! ;-)

The clever investor understands the importance of timing....