First off, sorry Massachusetts but you've been one-upped in the race for the stupidest state.

Congratulations Vermont!

You've managed to pass the first statewide experiment with a single-payor health care system in the USA.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/22/us/22vermont.html?_r=1

Now I realize that I'm going against the whole concept of American Exceptionalism being able to overcome reality and "do it better" than say Britain or Canada or anyone else but I'm going to make my prediction anyhow.

Vermont's health care costs will rise dramatically more than they predict (they'll have to predict as they will be requesting the money from the feds). Using Massachusetts' pseudo single payor as my basis I'll say that Vermont can expect their health care costs to exceed predictions by a minimum of 42% over the next 5 years. In addition I predict that the ratio of doctors to patients will decrease and that wait times for care will increase. I predict a higher number of doctors leaving Vermont to relocate than will relocate to Vermont. Finally I predict a dramatic increase in the number of patients visiting neighboring states for care.

Congratulations again Vermont for being the guinea pig. Of course, if you'd simply paid attention to the world you'd have know what you're in for but what the heck, you're Americans and you'll do it better...right?

;)