>We still have the final weekend push to get through but I think we're close enough to start the fun. ;)
>
>Right now my official prediction is :
>Pop : Romney-51% Obama 48%
>EC : Romney-296 Obama-242.
>
>I see Romney's peak EC potential at 362, but this would require an exceptional election day turnout which, while not out of the realm of possibility, is tough to predict.
>
>As for the Congress I'm much more in the mainstream. I predict the House remains Republican and the Senate remains Democrat. The top of the ticket will determine the number of Senate seats that change. If Obama wins or Romney wins by a closer margin than I currently see, the Reps will either stay the same or pick up 1-2 seats. Of course if the top of the ticket goes Romney in a rout then the Senate will change hands.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nov-1-the-simple-case-for-saying-obama-is-the-favorite/
Regards. Al
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