>>The west and the higher populated areas is exactly where the vote was one. Then there is and Interesting perspective here:
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http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/07/14993875-first-thoughts-obamas-demographic-edge?lite>>
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As the Obama campaign had assumed more than a year ago, the white portion of the electorate dropped to 72%, and the president won just 39% of that vote. But he carried a whopping 93% of black voters (representing 13% of the electorate), 71% of Latinos (representing 10%), and also 73% of Asians (3%). What’s more, despite all the predictions that youth turnout would be down, voters 18-29 made up 19% of last night’s voting population -- up from 18% four years ago -- and President Obama took 60% from that group. The trend also played out in the key battleground states: The president won about 70% of the Latino vote in Colorado and Nevada, and he won 60% of it in Florida (a high number given the state’s large GOP-leaning Cuban-American population). On Monday, we wrote that demography could determine destiny. And that’s exactly what happened. While the campaign’s turnout operation deserves all the credit for getting these voters to the polls, the most significant event of this presidential contest might very well have been the 2010 census.>
>All of this is very, very bad news for the Republican Party. It's no surprise that blacks voted overwhelmingly for Obama. And young voters have historically voted for the candidate preaching hope for the future. The really important component of the vote, by many people in addition to me, was the Latino vote. Latinos are the fastest growing ethnic group in the U.S. They were uncomfortable with Obama's first term but terrified of what Romney might do. They are considered the deciding factor in CO, NV, NM, and maybe Florida. Swap those columns and see where we are.
Latino growing [and the more anti-cuban flavor stronger in Fl] were a big part of my refusal to predict Fl.
>
>I happened to be tuned to CNN when Bill Schneider, who is a pretty even tempered reporter IMO, said the Republicans better find a new coalition or face increasing irrelevance. Being the choice of white males just isn't getting it done any more.
Yes and no. After a few safe elections based on new majorities dems will shift targets
and make reps the better alternative to a majority again. That is also system-immanent.
regards
thomas
