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Iran - Talks Are Pointless
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10/02/2013 08:25:37
Thomas Ganss (En ligne)
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Frankfurt, Allemagne
 
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Catégorie:
International
Divers
Thread ID:
01565400
Message ID:
01565673
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62
>Since you're lacking in historical perspective, here's some help. A map of Europe in 1944 at the invasion of Normandy:
>http://www.nysm.nysed.gov/citizensoldier/conflicts/WWIIeto/images/europomap.gif
>
>Germany owned all of Europe, and would have continued to do so if the US had not entered the war. I didn't say no one else contributed, but the US was the deciding factor.
>
to the embolded part:
the US entering was the deciding factor to divide germany via the iron curtain into 85 %west and 15% east -
largely measured by ground occupied at cease fire time and #/power of troops in germany -
and then exchange a lot of ground for Berlin.

Now just as a SWAG: without the US entering odds were IMO:
01-03% of germany keeping as much ground as your map showed (needs major advance somewhere)
25-33% of germany getting a cease fire with the red army somewhere along the lines first agreed upon with Stalin
40-50% of most of germany becoming a vassal of UDSSR and countries west of it staying half-neutral at first
15-25% of countries west of germany becoming a vassal of the UdSSR same as all of germany as well.

Charles ? Jos ? your take on such a scenario ?

regards

thomas
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