>>>In the business world I think .net, asp .net etc is doing pretty well ( assuming that going forward "asp .net" includes open source MVC and EF and a whole lot of javascript/jquery with HTML5)
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>Somebody attending a cycling convention might declare that everybody likes bikes. ;-) Surely we preselect our customers and vice versa according to services we can deliver. Customers wanting Linux won't be seen by you, but Linux underpins most of the commercial websites out there though small players like Amazon, eBay, Priceline etc etc are pushing for native apps to replace the websites...

Good point, I think in a lot of these discussions (and those involving the state of the world in general) we often lose sight of the difference between Trends/Historical Forces and personal best options.

I don't need 90% of the market. I need one or two deep pockets clients who love me and will provide projects I find interesting in an environment I can tolerate ( i.e. never having to leave my home office and being able to completely structure my own time) so I don't have to get a job or work for a living.

Someone leading a software or IT company of 10, 100, 1000 or 30,000 employees has to think about it all very differently.

Someone looking for a job at one of those companies has his own menu of considerations.

I look at trends in our business the way I do the sexual orientation and tastes of others - somewhat interesting but irrelevant to my personal situation unless I am trying to have relations with them :-)