>>>>Looks like Swami Jr. has a challenge from "Jake the Shake" (as in "Shake" from Aqua Teen Hunger Force....not the other one, Omar Abdel-Rahman)
>>>>
>>>>Swami Jr and Jake the Shake are currently tied at 21 wins....
>>>>
>>>>Week 3 picks from Swami and Shake
>>>>
>>>>Eagles vs Chiefs: Swami: KC Shake: Eagles
>>>>Ravens vs Texans Swami: Texans Shake: Ravens
>>>>Chargers vs Titans Swami: Titans Shake: SD
>>>>Cowboys vs Rams Swami: Cowboys Shake: Cowboys
>>>>Patriots vs Bucs Swami: Bucs Shake: NE
>>>>Vikings vs Browns Swami: Vikings Shake: Vikings
>>>>Saints vs Cards Swami: Saints Shake: Saints
>>>>Redskins vs Lions Swami: Lions Shake: Redskins
>>>>Packers vs Bengals Swami: Packers Shake: Packers
>>>>Panthers vs Giants Swami: Giants Shake: Panthers
>>>>Dolphins vs Falcons Swami: Falcons Shake: Miami
>>>>Seahawks vs Jags Swami: Seahawks Shake: Seahawks
>>>>49ers vs Colts Swami: 49ers Shake: 49ers
>>>>Jets vs Bills Swami: Bills Shake: Jets
>>>>Bears vs Steelers Swami: Bears Shake: Bears
>>>>Broncos vs Raiders Swami: Broncos Shake: Broncos
>>>
>>>What are your records on beating the spread?
>>
>>Thus far I've been godawful. 12-20. My worst start in years. Note : My picks against the spread are not the same as straight-up.
>>
>>For reference :
>>2012 : 146-110
>>2011 : 120-136
>>2010 : 142-114
>>2009 : 124-132
>>2008 : 135-121
>>2007 : 123-133
>>2006 : 128-128
>>2005 : 138-118
>
>Just for fun, suppose we chose randomly without any knowledge of the teams. This would resemble coin-tossing or a so-called "Bernouilli trial". The standard deviation of such a trial is
>
>SQRT( #Games * (probability of win per game) * (probability of loss per game) )
>
>So for 256 games it would be
>
>SQRT ( 256 * 0.5 * 0.5 ) = 8
>
>So we would "normally expect" the results of random game picking to be 128 +/- 8 wins, or somewhere between 120 and 136. By "normally expect" I mean within 1 standard deviation i.e. ~68%
>
>You've never been worse than "expected" and you were significantly better than "expected" in '05, '10 and '12. Although, what's up with your worst showing being between your two best? ;)

I have no good explanation for 2011, I just sucked.