>>Without a lot of research into the model, the maths the medicine etc its just a bunch of dots.

Sure it's a model, but it's a peer-reviewed model out of a university, created by people who aren't paid an extra penny for reaching this conclusion.

>>What I mean is that for most people medicine is a faith based system. They have to trust big pharma . And no I don't.

You're lucky to be in the UK: make a visit to a church in an old part of town and check out the cemetery. Prior to modern medicine there are some oldsters, but also there are numerous infants and an abundance of young women buried before their time. It's easy to forget the impact of what you call "faith-based" medicine. Certainly you can have faith that you won't die of Cholera, Polio, pneumonia, TB, a broken leg, an infected boil and probably prostate or bowel cancer if you're smart.

Also FWIW: Vaccination meant that Polio was expected to be gone worldwide by 2016-2018, but it's making a comeback in the Middle East. If people are choosing not to vaccinate in the First World, eventually it will make a comeback, probably in our lifetimes, just like Measles that was eradicated in the US by 2013. I am (just) old enough to remember being on a ward with two women who contracted polio as children and spent their lives in iron lungs. In the 1950s there were whole wards of people in iron lungs. Worth googling "iron lung ward" for most of us who weren't around then. Risking recurrence of those good old days is not what we should be bequeathing to our kids: our parents left us a world in which eradication of many horrid diseases was all but complete, so what do we do? We screw up. Again.