>>Front running would produce smaller profits, so we can rule that out. Zero odds
>>Blair as an exceptional trader is remotely possible - small odds
>>Hillary as exceptionally lucky is all but impossible - very small odds
>>Having a broker fraudulently assign trades - The broker was caught and punished for this exact behavior. - large odds.
Lets imagine you are going to make some trades based on these odds. You are going "all in" on # 4. Others may put a smaller amount on #1 and #2 - or even #3.
No matter how sure you are about #4, there's a distinct possibility you will lose all your $ to the fool who insists Hillary is lucky and wins the $100K you thought would be yours.
Hopefully you see my point. Odds are just odds.
I'm also reminded of the lottery in which the chances of winning $100M are exceedingly small. Yet people keep winning. For the person who wins, it doesn't matter that the odds were a trillion to 1. Nobody says it must be corrupt because the chances of losing were almost certain, so somebody much have slipped him the win. All the odds tell you is how likely the outcome might be, not what it will be and once it happens to you- it's 100%.
"... They ne'er cared for us
yet: suffer us to famish, and their store-houses
crammed with grain; make edicts for usury, to
support usurers; repeal daily any wholesome act
established against the rich, and provide more
piercing statutes daily, to chain up and restrain
the poor. If the wars eat us not up, they will; and
there's all the love they bear us."
-- Shakespeare: Coriolanus, Act 1, scene 1