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Recount in Milwaukee Backfires
Message
From
05/12/2016 18:21:07
 
 
To
05/12/2016 16:35:45
John Ryan
Captain-Cooker Appreciation Society
Taumata Whakatangi ..., New Zealand
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Elections
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
01644421
Message ID:
01644505
Views:
30
>>>Bit of a shame, because according to at least one analysis there was a mathematically valid justification for a recount:
>
>1) I can't find validation of their findings of 7% more votes for Trump where there are voting machines.
>
>2) Assuming it's accurate, it's still a deductive fallacy until you eliminate proper explanations for voting patterns. For example, where and why are machines used vs paper? That could provide an explanation by itself.
>
>No matter: recount is demanded and so far it suggests that the Russian hackers preferred HRC over Trump, stealing 15,000 votes for her in Milwaukee alone. Perhaps it's actually easier to hack the paper votes than the machines which is why the machines reflect a more honest match to the audit = 7% more for Trump. In any case, conspiracy theorists can breathe a sigh of relief that the Commies were thwarted in their dastardly plan. Also, popular vote protesters might consider how many votes the Ruskies stole for HRC in their own states to deny Trump the popular vote that would have prevented rioting protest.

Hmm, Halderman's article on Medium links to Ron Rivest (the "R" in RSA), amongst others: https://medium.com/@jhalderm/want-to-know-if-the-election-was-hacked-look-at-the-ballots-c61a6113b0ba . I would have thought that if the data on which their analysis is based is public enough for them to analyze, then they should have published it - but I can't find it. Looks like I'm guilty of parroting the MSM.

I don't know "where and why are machines used vs paper". Maybe wealthier districts can afford machines? But does that translate to a preference for HRC or Trump?

Absent some other explanation, a variation of 7% (if it is actually 7%) on a large sample is probably statistically significant. Might be grist for some theses in years to come ;)
Regards. Al

"Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent." -- Isaac Asimov
"Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what is right." -- Isaac Asimov

Neither a despot, nor a doormat, be

Every app wants to be a database app when it grows up
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