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This sure helped Hillary, didn't it?
Message
De
15/12/2016 09:07:57
 
 
À
14/12/2016 15:24:15
Information générale
Forum:
Politics
Catégorie:
Élections
Divers
Thread ID:
01644975
Message ID:
01645286
Vues:
25
>Historically, in the modern era of polling, polls have done a pretty good job of predicting the vote. In particular, exit polls have been quite accurate. In fact, when we (the US and other western countries) look at elections in other countries, when the results are widely different from the exit polls, we tend to suspect funny business.
>
>Considering how badly the Trump supporters have been demonized and attacked, I do not blame them for wanted to keep their opinions to themselves. Perhaps that might explain why the 2016 polls were so wrong? I know, probably not in your mind - it doesn't fit your narrative.

Yes, it's possible that the so-called Bradley effect was in play. Of course, there was a narrative in 2008 that it would be and that the polls were overstating Obama's advantage and it turned out that the polls were dead on.

Tamar
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