>>The article refered to polls ahead of voting. The 35% IIRC was 1 - 3 nights before voting started. My bad for not being precise enough on that detail ;-)

My recollection is that Silver was saying around 65% for Clinton in the few days before 8 November, rising to 70% on the day after Wikileaks failed to produce any bombshell and the FBI announced its findings re newly discovered emails. On the night, he was still saying 50:50 after NYT had its meter well towards Trump and visibly testing 85% then 90%.

Also I seem to recall that only one qualified person was predicting a win for him in advance. That was Kellyanne Conway who endured a storm of MSM ridicule. In hindsight, listen to her prophesies about Pennsylvania and other matters. People who worry about Trump's selections, might consider his selection of a campaign manager who had no experience with presidential campaigns and was the first woman to successfully run one when he won- and the undermining she experienced from MSM "experts" when she was right all along and her detractors were absurdly wrong. When they continue to deride Trump's more recent selections even after the accusations are shown to be false (e.g. false accusations of Bannon's racism and anti-Semitism) then why would *anybody* listen to the MSM uncritically if it's anything to do with Trump?!

Finally, listen to what she has to say about Obamacare. Seems to me "repeal Obamacare" means "stop premiums rising so quickly." Which ironically also was one of Obamacare's goals, undermined by opposition to individual mandate without which premiums inevitably rise, and perverse disincentives for payers to control costs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxI3-ePGUXY

- and (good prophesies) -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kkyAgVVFMHc

GxI3-ePGUXY

kkyAgVVFMHc