>So Nate Silver (who said that HRC was a shoo-in) says that the Senate is 6 to 1 to stay red and the House is 6 to 1 to turn blue.
>
>The HRC blooper excepted- quite an exception, I know- Nate has been spot on with his calls.
>
>Not a boring election, that's for sure.
How old is this prediction?
"The Lite (f/k/a "polls-only") version of our model gives the GOP about a 25 percent chance to hold the House. Which is…not good but also not bad? But essentially all of that comes from the possibility of a correlated polling error, i.e. where polls are off systematically." Nate Silver twitter 3 hours ago