>Less than a year ago, I placed Trump's odds of re-election at maybe 30% and declining. Well, right now I'd say his odds are better than 50-50. I'm seeing parallels between Trump a year before the election, and Nixon a year before the '72 election, as well as Reagan a year before the '84 election. And we all remember how badly the Democratic candidates were humiliated in those elections.

Quiz:
Name all the presidents since WWII who ran for re-election and failed to win.
Ford doesn't count, because he was never elected in the first place.
It's a pretty short list, isn't it?
So Trump's odds are a lot better than 50/50.