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>Without checking, I know that Carter had a four year term and lost in 1980, and that George Bush had a four year term and lost in 1992.
The inevitable conclusion is that incumbents have an inherent advantage.
It's theirs to lose.

>> Just like George Jr was entirely beatable in 2004, and yet the Dems ran with an entirely unelectable person in John Kerry.
Agreed. I was one of many dems who thought that a monkey could beat Bush after the Iraq debacle
I was stunned by his victory but it taught me something valuable - there are an awful lot of people out there who don't think the way I do.
The dems who are licking their chops over the thought of opposing Trump would be wise to look back at the 2004 election.