>>I certainly admire the shallow rise angle of logarithmic scale - but count only times after 100 clear infections.
>>A morbid, but probably even better start marker in northern hemisphere is 100 deaths...

Morbid, but number of deaths is more measurable than the infection denominator... except that some places like Italy are recording deaths in people *with* covid-19 and acknowledging that most of those dying have other comorbidities. Some analysts plot "normal" annual death rates against Covid rates and suggest that even If society heroically saves older riskier patients from covid, statistically their overall mortality may not change one iota. Meaning people still will die, just of something else. Not everybody is comfortable with such logic and things always change once you're in the group being discussed so dispassionately. ;-)

>>But arguing for the policy tried and failed in spring/flu time in GB and Netherlands without further scientific data clearly is premature...

We're all in the fog of war. What does seem clear is that early apocalyptic visions are gradually pared back. Cynics say Trump is going along with apocalyptic predictions because he hopes to hark back constantly to wild over-calculations and personal attack masquerading as science, on future topics as varied as climate change and voting id.