I see that CDC's latest conservative estimate of COVID mortality is .26% of infections, order/s of magnitude less than modeled lethality.
I say "conservative" because it's based on 25% asymptomatic cases, unlike the up to 86% asymptomatic calculation from elsewhere. Increase the denominator by 350% and mortality drops to less than annual flu.
Until better asymptomatic spread can be measured by community testing, .26% remains more than twice as high as annual flu lethality, but less than pandemic flu lethality. Meanwhile the main message is that models can by shockingly inaccurate so politicians need to be discouraged from ever again treating models as settled science.
"... They ne'er cared for us
yet: suffer us to famish, and their store-houses
crammed with grain; make edicts for usury, to
support usurers; repeal daily any wholesome act
established against the rich, and provide more
piercing statutes daily, to chain up and restrain
the poor. If the wars eat us not up, they will; and
there's all the love they bear us."
-- Shakespeare: Coriolanus, Act 1, scene 1
