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How lethal is COVID-19?
Message
De
01/06/2020 16:38:21
John Ryan
Captain-Cooker Appreciation Society
Taumata Whakatangi ..., Nouvelle Zélande
 
 
À
29/05/2020 06:42:22
Walter Meester
HoogkarspelPays-Bas
Information générale
Forum:
Politics
Catégorie:
Santé
Divers
Thread ID:
01674635
Message ID:
01674657
Vues:
52
>>However, to conclude COVID-19 is just as lethal as annual flu is a very big mistake, for:

I'm quoting the US CDC which came up with that 0.26% figure based on 25% asymptomatic.

>> We took draconian measures to stop COVID-19, we do not for annual flu. If we let COVID-19 go its course the number of deaths would likely have been an order of magnitude higher.

Agreed, so for better data we should look to the likes of Japan and Sweden that didn't lock down.

However, the weekend's protests without social distancing in locked-down US states and some European capitals, also may assist with estimation of effects if people are crowding together rather than isolating.

>>There still are a lot of unknowns about COVID-19. Are we building up life-time resistance to it once recovered? Will it mutate just like flu and thrive in winter and spring ?

Apparently COVID is very good at mutating, but wrt resistance- all science until now is that whether via vaccine or infection, once you mount the IgG response it's called the "secondary immune" response and I'm not aware of any actual science to cause that longstanding principle to be overturned now, or else there would be no point waiting for a vaccine. Certainly if there's mutation we're not out of the woods by a long shot.
"... They ne'er cared for us
yet: suffer us to famish, and their store-houses
crammed with grain; make edicts for usury, to
support usurers; repeal daily any wholesome act
established against the rich, and provide more
piercing statutes daily, to chain up and restrain
the poor. If the wars eat us not up, they will; and
there's all the love they bear us.
"
-- Shakespeare: Coriolanus, Act 1, scene 1
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