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How lethal is COVID-19?
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De
04/06/2020 00:01:23
 
 
À
03/06/2020 23:20:16
Information générale
Forum:
Politics
Catégorie:
Santé
Divers
Thread ID:
01674635
Message ID:
01674695
Vues:
57
>>* NY had 10,700 new cases and 1,000 deaths daily, whereas
>>* FL had 1,400 new cases and 60 deaths daily
>>Yesterday,
>>* NY recorded 1,361 new cases and 81 deaths
>>* FL recorded 617 new cases and 70 deaths
>
>Sorin, I'm sorry, but it is absurd to point to a single day of statistics and draw conclusions.
>The lowest level of granularity should be the week figures - while even that can be misleading and requires week-after-week analysis, a single day count has very limited analytic value
>
>Over the last 2 full weeks (week ending 5/23 and 5/30), here are the death counts for the 2 states
>
>5/23 NY: 947
>5/30 NY: 712
>
>5/23 FL: 269
>5/30 FL: 214
>
>I've been capturing counts by all U.S. counties since early March and have also been looking at population densities.

And of course we probably also need to take into account factors such as size of population and population density of region (i.e. assuming all other factors being the same, it's natural to expect to have higher number of infections and deaths in more highly-populated areas than less-populated areas, and similarly higher numbers in more densly-populated areas than sparsely-populated areas). Not to say that there aren't other factors at play -- the population isn't homogeneous.
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