>So, let's say that Covid miraculously disappears by Easter

First, it won't disappear by Easter, and if there's any part of you that truly believes that, that's about as disingenuous as the Trump claim from a year ago. The numbers would be very similar right now if Trump had won the election (unless, of course, people dramatically started changing the method of reporting based on who won the election).

Yes, the cases are dropping sharply....which means new deaths will start to drop (they've held steady for the last few weeks, because a few states did death certificate data dumps of numbers that should have been reported back in the late fall, and there was a spike of 6K deaths that should have been spread out late last year).

But still....over 565K new cases last week....yes, that's a hell of a lot better than the 1.7 million new cases the first full week of the year, but is still very high, as areas like Southern Cal, Dade County, and some of the big cities in Arizona and Texas still have high case counts. What hasn't changed is this....

the median age of death is about 78-79
people 85 and up continue to account for 32% of deaths
people 75-84 represent another 27.8%.
people 65-74 represent another 21.4%
and then the % of deaths drops very sharply for the remaining age groups.

Those ranges have changed very little. And the CFR, when you take out the initial spike in deaths in NY and NJ, is about 1%.
Bottom line, people between 15-54 in general are still getting it to the tune of between 360-400K new cases a week. Only a very small % of them are getting seriously ill and dying....the CFR is ballpark around flu rate....but it continues to be much deadlier for the older groups. If any part of you thinks it will clear by Easter......

So...my general answer is...."for the same reason that I didn't give Trump all the credit for the economic growth". The economy was starting to rebound in the last year or so of Obama's second term. If things take a sharp turn for the better over the next few months, *some* of the credit might go to the prior administration era, no matter how much we detest that prior administration.

Say what you will about Trump, he made a ton of stupid mistakes regarding COVID, but vaccines came along quickly and I must give him *some* credit for that. I tend to doubt whether that would have happened with Biden.

This is my polite way of saying I'll be happy to entertain a question about "what would we say to Joe" if you present some realistic scenario....not a pure fantasy.