>>>Not sure what the adoption rate will be. From my reading, about 90 percent of the hardware today will not run Win11 (has to be fairly current generation CPUs - last few years). So my guess is that it will not be widely adopted as it will require purchasing new hardware.
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>>>I for one do not want to purchase a new system. My current system works very well on Win10. The feature list of Win11 does not have any features that I would "have to have". So for me right now it is a no-go.
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>>I'm in a similar situation. I'm not getting too worked up about it right now, things are subject to change.
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>>Whether deliberately or not, Microsoft has positioned themselves to take advantage of a classic psychological ploy. I imagine one goal with a "new" OS version is to not have to support old hardware; it's politically infeasible to do that via a Win10 feature update. Maybe their actual goal is to deprecate 90% of existing machines. But if it's, say, 50% then later on they can relax the requirements and they appear "generous".
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>>This is like retail MSRPs vs actual selling prices.
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>Indeed it may be better to have minimum requirements a bit too high than to have them set low. You probably don't want to have repeat of the Vista debacle (part of the problem were that many systems that were supposedly "Vista capable" were barely capable).

Some other things to think about (don't know how they will affect introduction of Win11):

- If the hardware requirements are "strict" then that will drive new computer sales. There are already worldwide chip shortages
- I haven't seen anything yet about running Win11 in a VM. If it's possible (and presumably it will be) then that will bypass certain hardware requirements such as CPU, TPM chip presence etc.
- After Win10 goes end-of-life there will be lots of good used machines available that can't be upgraded to Win11. It could be an opportunity for desktop Linux except that for business, hardware+OS is such a low percentage of TCO that buying new machines with Win11 is probably a better bet for them if they're Windows shops

This is an interesting situation. Over the last 6 years the world has gotten used to the idea of "Win10 = last version of Windows", but that's not true any longer.