BTW, it seems many want to try to solve this problem by programs or trial sampling - the enumeration is really very simple, and no one's done it yet, I think, so here goes:
Let G = Goat, C = Car, S = Selected, and N = Not-selected. We then have the following 9 possibles scenarios:
SNN NSN NNS
GGC GGC GGC
GCG GCG GCG
CGG CGG CGG
Now throw out any N-Goat from all 9 configurations.
We now have (reordered so as to make the results clear):
SN SN SN
GC GC CG
GC CG GC
CG GC GC
Hence, the 6/9 = 2/3 chance of winning with a switch.
The Anonymous Bureaucrat,
and frankly, quite content not to be
a member of either major US political party.