>John,
>
>That's fine if you're talking about right now (that's an observation, by the way, not a forecast/prediction so p=1, not 0.5). However, p=0.5 is not much good if it's not coupled with some scientific basis.
>
>Cheers,
>
>Andrew
Persistent aren't you. P=0.5 unless you are Steven Wright and then it could do something in between.*g*
John Harvey
Shelbynet.com
"I'm addicted to placebos. I could quit, but it wouldn't matter." Stephen Wright 
