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My Prediction: It's Gore
Message
From
27/11/2000 15:25:05
 
 
To
27/11/2000 15:11:50
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Other
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
00440711
Message ID:
00445812
Views:
25
Peter,

>Palm Beach found a net gain of 19 votes for Gore in one percent of the precincts. The possibility of an additional 1900 votes for Gore in this one county was the basis for my prediction that Gore would win.
>
>In actuality, Gore picked up only 180 additional votes in Palm Beach, less than 10% of what you might expect.

You do realize, don't you, that the 1 percent of precincts selected by the Democrats for the test recount were the most overwhelmingly Gore precincts in the county? There's no way that the 1900 votes could have materialized county-wide.

Same for Miami-Dade. The precincts selected by the Democrats to give them the most votes in the test recount produced only 6 additional Gore votes, leading the board to conclude (probably correctly) that the huge effort to recount it all would have produced very little change in the result. Those facts remain, in spite of the hype about non-counted votes.

Another interesting fact is that the first two days of the Miami-Dade recount produced 150+ votes for Gore, but from mostly heavy Democratic precincts. Next up when they called off the count were Cuban districts, which would have evened it back up again. Of course, Gore's lawsuit is asking the court to give him those 150+ votes, and count the undervotes, but probably not asking for a complete county-wide recount, unless I'm mistaken. That in itself is evidence of extreme unfairness, and shows that the "full, fair and accurate" line is just a line.
David Stevenson, MCSD, 2-time VFP MVP / St. Petersburg, FL USA / david@topstrategies.com
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