>I'm somewhat probability-challanged so what would it be if you said, "What is the probability that out of the 24 people in this room that one of them has my birthday?"
Let's say there are 24
other people - not counting me.
Slightly less than 24/365. Less, because of the possibility of duplicates.
For an exact calculation, I believe it is easier, once again, to calculate the complement.
24/365 = 6.57%.
1-(364/365)^24 = 6.37% (this is a more accurate value, I believe).
Hilmar.
Difference in opinions hath cost many millions of lives: for instance, whether flesh be bread, or bread be flesh; whether whistling be a vice or a virtue; whether it be better to kiss a post, or throw it into the fire... (from Gulliver's Travels)