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What is in a Birthday.
Message
From
08/11/2001 10:07:51
Hilmar Zonneveld
Independent Consultant
Cochabamba, Bolivia
 
 
To
08/11/2001 10:02:31
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Other
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
00578804
Message ID:
00579069
Views:
33
>>>Probability of only 1 person having the same birthday is around 0.016% calculated as (364 ^ 23) / (365 ^ 24)
>>
>>Where do you get these numbers from?
>>
>>Adapting the previous formula, you get:
>>
>>1 - (364/365) ^ 1 = 0,27%.
>>
>>Which is exactly the same as 1/365.
>>
>>Hilmar.
>
>Combination of the probability of 1 person having the same birthday (1/365) and the probability of the remaining 23 having a different birthday ((364/365)^23).
>
>(Actually, I've got the feeling I'm not totally right, but I can't work out why, but I think it's in the right area).

I think your formula asks whether the first person in an arbitrary list has the birthday on the specific date. To get any person in the list would be more complicated with this approach.

Hilmar.
Difference in opinions hath cost many millions of lives: for instance, whether flesh be bread, or bread be flesh; whether whistling be a vice or a virtue; whether it be better to kiss a post, or throw it into the fire... (from Gulliver's Travels)
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