>So.. Organization and motivation and talent. I don't see either camp as having a monopoly here...

Let's say (for the sake of argument) that both sides are even on talent, organization and motivation. What about time? A cutting edge company probably can push their guys to do 10-14 hours of work for 6 day per week. If open source can't pay their programmers in the long term, then these guys have to exist on welfare or do it in their spare time. At this point, closed source is ahead of the game.