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Monty's Odds
Message
From
05/01/2003 14:59:03
John Ryan
Captain-Cooker Appreciation Society
Taumata Whakatangi ..., New Zealand
 
 
To
04/01/2003 02:27:16
General information
Forum:
Games
Category:
Game shows
Title:
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
00737766
Message ID:
00738184
Views:
16
Dan

When you choose the first time: you have a 33% chance of getting the car whichever door you choose. But it doesn't matter, because Monty changes the test and invites you to try again.

When you choose the second time: you have a 50% chance of getting the car whichever door you choose.

Only the 50% matters. Your previous choice has no impact on this whatsoever. One door has a car and one a goat no matter what you did the first time.


Regards

JR
"... They ne'er cared for us
yet: suffer us to famish, and their store-houses
crammed with grain; make edicts for usury, to
support usurers; repeal daily any wholesome act
established against the rich, and provide more
piercing statutes daily, to chain up and restrain
the poor. If the wars eat us not up, they will; and
there's all the love they bear us.
"
-- Shakespeare: Coriolanus, Act 1, scene 1
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