Jay Johengen
Altamahaw-Ossipee, Caroline du Nord, États-Unis
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>Bob,
>
>>You are correct, each event is independent. On any flip of a coin there is a 50% change that it will be heads...
>>
>>But, there is also the probablity of the repeating events... flip a coint once, you have a 50/50 chance it will be heads. Flip it again, there is a 50/50 change it will be heads. Let's say it was heads 3 times in a row, what is the probability that it will be heads a fourth time?
>
>0.5 the exact same as it was on the first flip.
I know this to be true but there is some part of me that wonders whether I would bet against the person who says that out of a hundred tosses at least one of them will be heads and at least on of them will be tails. Seems that there must be some other level of probability that could be determined. The odds for tossing 100 straight heads or 100 straight tails could not be the same as tossing 50 heads and 50 tails. Could it? Seems improbable... <g>
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