>>>Considering the lead he had, a numerical tie wouldn't be my idea of good news if I were a Bush supporter. But the focus of these polls is the popular vote, which as we know doesn't really matter:
>>>
>>>http://www.electoral-vote.com/
>>
>>Well, did Kerry EVER have a lead? I'd rather have a lead in the polls than not.
>
>If you had checked out that link, you would have seen that he does in the Electoral College:
>
>Kerry 283
>Bush 246
>
>But it's still too close to call.

Hmm, the electoral college vote tab is based on polling so I would think a composite look at that would probably be more accurate. Here's just such a link which shows Bush with 232 and Kerry with 190 -

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_EC.html