I don't think you can compare the current state of affairs to the death of the mainframe back when. The apps that were on the mainframe were hugh beasts that typically would be very expensive to rewrite. And it was easy to have one guy in the back corner whose job it was to maintain the mainframe.

In this case, if the company has enough money to hire an expensive consultant, why not just rewrite the app in dotnet/java? I think it's two totally different scenarios.


>You're overcomplicating the matter. It is plainly about supply and demand. Nothing more and nothing less. Whether the demand decreases because of other factors does not matter as long as the supply/demand ratio increases, rates will go up.
>
>This reminds me of some of our conversations about capabilities in .NET. <s>
>
>Demand isn't just about wants/need - it's also about ability and willingness to pay. Many factors come in to play, including the substitution factor.
>
>Kevin