>>>Nope... the battle now is between SL and Html5....
>
>Others might argue that this "fight" mainly concerns <5% of the smart phone market predicted by Gartner to fall to <4% by 2014, with the real battle between iOS and Android. Theoretically you could do a SL app for Android but phone developers have been drawn to optimized tools for a particular platform- I say "optimized" because graphical apps can drain a phone battery very quickly without specific optimization, including SL apps for WinPhone fwiw. You can already get optimized cross-platform products, e.g. database tools with versions for both iOS and Android.

from http://www.silverlight.net/getstarted/
Develop for Phone with Silverlight

1. Windows Phone 7

Windows Phone 7 enables developers to create interesting interactive out-of-browser applications in both Silverlight and XNA. Learn how to use your existing Silverlight skills to target this new and exciting device today.
2. Nokia Symbian

Nokia Symbian is one of the most popular mobile operating systems in the world. The Silverlight team has been hard at work ensuring that Symbian users can run Silverlight applications in-browser on their mobile devices. Learn how to target Nokia Symbian for your own applications.

While MonoDroid/MonoTouch will get some smaller programs, I doubt they will be used for enterprize in the next 300 days.
And those days should be measured somewhere in between dog and fly years...


>>> within 5 years, there will be no SL, ASP.Net, Lightswitch, etc.... there is a merging of technologies taking place and I believe the ultimate inheritor will be a markup based, generated language that runs both on web and desktop and combines all these features into a single platform with no need for anything else.
>
>Good prediction! The desktop metaphor won't survive either as people learn to love their devices that make much better use of voice and speech-to-text, since those are more natural for humans than tapping on keyboards laid out to suit technologies that were profoundly obsolete for most of our working lives.

Yeah, but where to place the bets - either in learning or stock dollars...