>Have you guys seen the movie Pi? It's kind of about that. This dude goes nuts analyzing the math behind the stock market. Pretty cool if you like wierd movies.

Great movie. Loved the B&W photography. A little contrast anyone.

As far as the market isn't it the same as any type of odds. I mean a price can have 3 actions (increase, decrease, no change), so your odds of being correct are 1 in 3 EVERY time you make prediction, right. Your odds never change regardless of past history or trends. Just like rolling a die, your odds are 1 in 6 on every roll.