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My Prediction: It's Gore
Message
From
12/11/2000 00:50:47
 
 
To
11/11/2000 18:17:13
General information
Forum:
Politics
Category:
Other
Miscellaneous
Thread ID:
00440711
Message ID:
00440755
Views:
23
>Remember, I voted for Nader...
>
>Why would the Bush camp do the one thing that they were pleading with the Gore campaign not to do (bring a suit in Federal Court)? Because it is a desperate gamble to save the 25 Florida electoral votes and the Bush presidency.
>
>After the vote is certified in each Florida county, each side has 72 hours to ask for a manual recount. The Democrats have done this in four counties. A manual recount will include many votes that the machines rejected. This will raise the vote totals in these heavily Democratic counties adding thousands of votes to each candidate's totals but relatively more (2 to 1) to Gore's totals.
>
>James Baker representing the Bush campaign is asking that a Federal judge grant an injunction stopping that manual recount which has already in begun in South Palm Beach county.
>
>"The Bush campaign’s 49-page lawsuit was filed early Saturday in Miami and assigned to U.S. District Judge Donald M. Middlebrooks, a Clinton appointee, who scheduled a hearing for 9:30 a.m. ET Monday in Miami, NBC News reported."
>
>53 counties (CNN) are already beyond the cutoff period for requesting a manual recount. More counties are reaching that point each hour. By Monday morning when Judge Middlebrooks makes his ruling, I expect the deadline will have passed in all ten other counties.
>
>Thus the Bush campaign will not be able to counter on Monday by asking for a manual recount in heavily Republican counties.
>
>The choice of the next president will rest in the hands of a Clinton appointee who, in order to save Bush, will have to rule that the law allowing counties to do a manual recount is unconstitutional and that irreparable harm will follow if the manual recount is allowed to continue to completion.
>
>On the other hand he could simply say that there is not sufficient grounds for the federal courts to overrule established state law and procedures.
>
>Any one want to bet on what course he will take?
>
>Peter
>
>P.S.
>CNN also reported that Bush recently signed a law in Texas establishing that a hand recount overrules a machine count.

There's still the absentee ballots. I have heard numbers ranging from 3,000 to 7,000 on the networks, so I think it's still up for grabs.
I don't want to start a long discussion, but a new election on the contested counties seems like a bad idea.
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